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Red394
354130.2
6880148.4
5016126.7
Blue298
229144.3
395131.5
4091120.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352283100200400500600394298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.41.1
144.5145.6
Auto17.7
Teleop116.8
End16.3
red by 4.1
229
#12
144.30.3
143.6144.0
Auto15.4
Teleop111.7
End16.5
Second
354
#5
130.20.3
129.1129.4
Auto17.5
Teleop103.1
End9.8
blue by 1.4
395
#9
131.50.8
129.9130.7
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End10.0
Third
5016
#36
126.70.1
126.4126.5
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End13.3
red by 6.4
4091
#15
120.30.1
120.1120.2
Auto15.5
Teleop92.5
End14.9