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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Hudson Valley Regional
Red312
354130.2
6880148.4
5016126.7
Blue296
229144.3
395131.5
4091120.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356283100200400500600312296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6880
#4
148.41.1
145.6→146.7
Auto17.7
Teleop116.8
End16.3
red by 4.1
229
#12
144.30.3
144.0→144.3
Auto15.4
Teleop111.7
End16.5
Second
354
#5
130.20.3
129.4→129.7
Auto17.5
Teleop103.1
End9.8
blue by 1.4
395
#9
131.50.8
130.7→131.5
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End10.0
Third
5016
#36
126.70.1
126.5→126.6
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End13.3
red by 6.4
4091
#15
120.30.1
120.2→120.3
Auto15.5
Teleop92.5
End14.9