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Red359
5943117.1
2875148.6
5016126.7
Blue252
5123111.3
369134.0
4707112.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298256150200350400450359252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.610.9
107.6118.5
Auto17.9
Teleop115.8
End12.7
red by 14.6
369
#11
134.08.7
99.8108.5
Auto16.5
Teleop109.1
End8.2
Second
5016
#36
126.710.5
98.7109.3
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End13.3
red by 14.6
4707
#22
112.28.2
83.091.2
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End13.1
Third
5943
#23
117.11.4
111.3112.6
Auto16.2
Teleop84.3
End15.0
red by 5.7
5123
#27
111.30.8
119.0118.1
Auto16.3
Teleop87.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed