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Qual 122018 Hudson Valley Regional
Red222
2601137.0
3017109.7
329141.8
Blue251
4122132.3
6911124.7
354130.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277280150200250300350400450222251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#37
141.89.3
114.6→123.9
Auto16.0
Teleop105.5
End20.0
red by 9.5
4122
#6
132.30.1
127.4→127.2
Auto19.0
Teleop98.9
End11.8
Second
2601
#13
137.08.1
94.9→102.9
Auto18.6
Teleop103.6
End14.3
red by 6.8
354
#5
130.211.6
85.1→96.7
Auto17.5
Teleop103.1
End9.8
Third
3017
#33
109.78.4
79.7→88.1
Auto11.6
Teleop83.7
End15.8
blue by 15.0
6911
#10
124.713.8
77.7→91.6
Auto16.5
Teleop96.0
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed