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Red319
3419130.6
229144.3
4571106.3
Blue197
1155132.6
6806114.7
4707112.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152490100200400500600319197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#12
144.30.2
138.8139.0
Auto15.4
Teleop111.7
End16.5
red by 11.6
1155
#32
132.68.9
101.4110.3
Auto16.4
Teleop102.5
End12.6
Second
3419
#16
130.65.2
120.3125.5
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End10.1
red by 15.9
6806
#34
114.79.0
90.799.7
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End10.3
Third
4571
#35
106.34.9
102.9107.7
Auto12.3
Teleop81.4
End15.0
blue by 5.9
4707
#22
112.26.1
91.297.2
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed