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Red108
5943117.1
6911124.7
5865140.4
Blue371
257999.6
4122132.3
2590215.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253870100300500600700108371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5865
#17
140.40.1
132.7132.6
Auto17.6
Teleop96.8
End27.9
blue by 75.1
215.51.3
188.5189.8
Auto25.7
Teleop145.9
End46.1
Second
6911
#10
124.78.3
91.699.8
Auto16.5
Teleop96.0
End10.6
blue by 7.6
132.30.5
127.2126.8
Auto19.0
Teleop98.9
End11.8
Third
5943
#23
117.11.4
112.6114.1
Auto16.2
Teleop84.3
End15.0
red by 17.5
2579
#20
99.64.1
100.9104.9
Auto13.8
Teleop79.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed