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Qual 192018 Hudson Valley Regional
Red140
3017109.7
6982114.4
5202114.8
Blue394
694187.6
6401129.4
6969112.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2053590100300400500600700140394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5202
#30
114.80.3
110.4→110.2
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End16.8
blue by 72.8
694
#2
187.60.5
164.9→165.3
Auto26.7
Teleop132.9
End26.3
Second
6982
#39
114.410.4
88.6→99.0
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End16.2
blue by 15.0
6401
#18
129.45.1
99.9→105.1
Auto19.4
Teleop100.4
End10.3
Third
3017
#33
109.74.8
88.1→92.9
Auto11.6
Teleop83.7
End15.8
blue by 3.2
6969
#31
112.98.2
88.6→96.9
Auto13.8
Teleop87.4
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed