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Red304
2265115.7
5298102.2
2601137.0
Blue212
3419130.6
6601103.3
3950121.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2033240100400500600700304212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#13
137.04.6
102.9107.5
Auto18.6
Teleop103.6
End14.3
red by 6.4
3419
#16
130.63.9
125.5129.4
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End10.1
Second
2265
#26
115.76.3
108.5114.8
Auto15.4
Teleop88.9
End10.5
blue by 6.1
3950
#25
121.89.3
110.0119.3
Auto15.0
Teleop94.3
End14.3
Third
5298
#40
102.25.8
80.486.3
Auto12.7
Teleop84.1
End3.2
blue by 1.1
6601
#24
103.34.2
94.698.9
Auto13.2
Teleop82.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed