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Red163
257999.6
7318106.7
4571106.3
Blue388
369134.0
329141.8
1796176.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1953650100300400500600700163388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7318
#21
106.73.0
99.4102.4
Auto14.2
Teleop87.6
End2.8
blue by 69.8
176.58.2
133.1141.3
Auto25.9
Teleop128.1
End23.9
Second
4571
#35
106.33.7
107.7111.4
Auto12.3
Teleop81.4
End15.0
blue by 35.5
329
#37
141.82.6
129.2131.8
Auto16.0
Teleop105.5
End20.0
Third
2579
#20
99.62.7
104.9107.6
Auto13.8
Teleop79.1
End5.2
blue by 34.4
369
#11
134.06.0
114.9120.9
Auto16.5
Teleop109.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed