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Red349
1796176.5
3950121.8
6806114.7
Blue221
4122132.3
5943117.1
1155132.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3182770100200400500600349221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.513.3
99.8113.1
Auto25.9
Teleop128.1
End23.9
red by 43.9
1155
#32
132.614.7
86.7101.4
Auto16.4
Teleop102.5
End12.6
Second
3950
#25
121.815.0
83.898.8
Auto15.0
Teleop94.3
End14.3
blue by 10.5
132.30.2
127.1127.4
Auto19.0
Teleop98.9
End11.8
Third
6806
#34
114.754.2
132.077.7
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End10.3
blue by 2.4
5943
#23
117.12.1
109.2111.3
Auto16.2
Teleop84.3
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed