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Red101
5298102.2
4571106.3
5865140.4
Blue326
2875148.6
7318106.7
4091120.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284286150200250300101326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5865
#17
140.41.7
131.8133.5
Auto17.6
Teleop96.8
End27.9
blue by 8.2
148.613.9
93.7107.6
Auto17.9
Teleop115.8
End12.7
Second
4571
#35
106.315.3
80.796.0
Auto12.3
Teleop81.4
End15.0
blue by 14.0
4091
#15
120.316.7
68.585.2
Auto15.5
Teleop92.5
End14.9
Third
5298
#40
102.218.5
53.071.4
Auto12.7
Teleop84.1
End3.2
blue by 4.5
7318
#21
106.729.0
106.777.7
Auto14.2
Teleop87.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed