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Red186
4122132.3
4707112.2
2265115.7
Blue446
5202114.8
2590215.5
6969112.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503420100200300400500186446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
132.30.5
126.4125.9
Auto19.0
Teleop98.9
End11.8
blue by 83.2
215.51.8
190.8192.5
Auto25.7
Teleop145.9
End46.1
Second
2265
#26
115.72.0
120.6122.6
Auto15.4
Teleop88.9
End10.5
red by 0.8
5202
#30
114.80.6
109.9109.3
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End16.8
Third
4707
#22
112.23.4
100.3103.7
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End13.1
blue by 0.7
6969
#31
112.93.7
104.0107.7
Auto13.8
Teleop87.4
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsEarned