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Red349
329141.8
229144.3
5865140.4
Blue273
5943117.1
3419130.6
2869111.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612350100200300400500349273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#12
144.30.1
139.4139.3
Auto15.4
Teleop111.7
End16.5
red by 13.7
3419
#16
130.63.1
126.6123.4
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End10.1
Second
329
#37
141.82.4
135.0137.4
Auto16.0
Teleop105.5
End20.0
red by 24.7
5943
#23
117.10.3
115.2115.5
Auto16.2
Teleop84.3
End15.0
Third
5865
#17
140.40.9
132.5133.4
Auto17.6
Teleop96.8
End27.9
red by 29.3
2869
#19
111.10.2
111.2111.3
Auto16.5
Teleop87.6
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed