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Red377
5865140.4
395131.5
4707112.2
Blue252
2601137.0
6982114.4
7016103.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2622700100200400500600700377252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5865
#17
140.40.9
133.4134.3
Auto17.6
Teleop96.8
End27.9
red by 3.4
2601
#13
137.04.3
117.2121.5
Auto18.6
Teleop103.6
End14.3
Second
395
#9
131.50.7
117.0116.3
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End10.0
red by 17.2
6982
#39
114.41.0
111.2112.2
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End16.2
Third
4707
#22
112.21.5
104.5103.0
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End13.1
red by 8.6
7016
#28
103.50.7
103.9103.2
Auto12.5
Teleop85.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed