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Red339
6911124.7
1155132.6
369134.0
Blue198
3950121.8
353138.8
5123111.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212520100200400500600339198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#11
134.02.2
128.1130.3
Auto16.5
Teleop109.1
End8.2
blue by 4.8
353
#14
138.84.0
135.0139.0
Auto19.3
Teleop100.3
End21.4
Second
1155
#32
132.62.8
125.8128.5
Auto16.4
Teleop102.5
End12.6
red by 10.9
3950
#25
121.81.0
120.3121.3
Auto15.0
Teleop94.3
End14.3
Third
6911
#10
124.74.2
108.2112.5
Auto16.5
Teleop96.0
End10.6
red by 13.4
5123
#27
111.31.7
114.7113.0
Auto16.3
Teleop87.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed