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Red202
395131.5
6969112.9
6982114.4
Blue309
329141.8
5016126.7
354130.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383190100200400500600700800202309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#9
131.516.0
74.490.4
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End10.0
blue by 10.3
329
#37
141.813.1
101.5114.6
Auto16.0
Teleop105.5
End20.0
Second
6982
#39
114.436.6
114.477.7
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End16.2
blue by 15.8
354
#5
130.216.7
68.485.1
Auto17.5
Teleop103.1
End9.8
Third
6969
#31
112.935.2
112.977.7
Auto13.8
Teleop87.4
End12.1
blue by 13.8
5016
#36
126.715.0
83.898.7
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed