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Qual 62018 Hudson Valley Regional
Red297
694187.6
2265115.7
369134.0
Blue134
6880148.4
6401129.4
2601137.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3582380100200300400500600297134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
187.60.2
165.0→165.2
Auto26.7
Teleop132.9
End26.3
red by 39.2
6880
#4
148.480.2
157.9→77.7
Auto17.7
Teleop116.8
End16.3
Second
369
#11
134.014.9
85.0→99.8
Auto16.5
Teleop109.1
End8.2
blue by 3.0
2601
#13
137.015.5
79.4→94.9
Auto18.6
Teleop103.6
End14.3
Third
2265
#26
115.714.9
84.9→99.8
Auto15.4
Teleop88.9
End10.5
blue by 13.7
6401
#18
129.415.9
75.7→91.6
Auto19.4
Teleop100.4
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed