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Red310
1880115.2
3419130.6
257999.6
Blue16
4707112.2
806102.9
6601103.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327227010020030040050031016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#16
130.612.4
107.9120.3
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End10.1
red by 18.4
4707
#22
112.216.9
66.183.0
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End13.1
Second
1880
#29
115.214.8
85.2100.0
Auto14.2
Teleop79.1
End21.5
red by 11.8
6601
#24
103.311.1
83.594.6
Auto13.2
Teleop82.5
End5.6
Third
2579
#20
99.610.5
90.3100.9
Auto13.8
Teleop79.1
End5.2
blue by 3.3
806
#38
102.917.4
61.779.1
Auto14.3
Teleop80.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed