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Red370
4707112.2
354130.2
2590215.5
Blue363
1155132.6
5865140.4
7004129.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762680100200300500600370363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
215.52.2
197.6199.8
Auto25.7
Teleop145.9
End46.1
red by 75.1
5865
#17
140.41.8
134.3136.1
Auto17.6
Teleop96.8
End27.9
Second
354
#5
130.23.2
120.6123.8
Auto17.5
Teleop103.1
End9.8
blue by 2.5
1155
#32
132.62.8
128.5131.3
Auto16.4
Teleop102.5
End12.6
Third
4707
#22
112.21.9
103.0104.9
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End13.1
blue by 17.0
129.24.5
111.2115.6
Auto15.8
Teleop96.6
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed