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Red366
395131.5
6601103.3
4122132.3
Blue209
369134.0
229144.3
4091120.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433370100200300400500600700366209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
132.30.2
125.0125.1
Auto19.0
Teleop98.9
End11.8
blue by 12.0
229
#12
144.30.8
140.2141.0
Auto15.4
Teleop111.7
End16.5
Second
395
#9
131.52.6
116.3118.9
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End10.0
blue by 2.5
369
#11
134.02.5
130.3132.8
Auto16.5
Teleop109.1
End8.2
Third
6601
#24
103.31.7
99.5101.2
Auto13.2
Teleop82.5
End5.6
blue by 17.0
4091
#15
120.30.9
124.1125.0
Auto15.5
Teleop92.5
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed