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Red197
6969112.9
329141.8
5298102.2
Blue400
6880148.4
3419130.6
5123111.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493030100200400500600197400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#37
141.81.4
139.4140.7
Auto16.0
Teleop105.5
End20.0
blue by 6.6
148.46.2
119.5125.7
Auto17.7
Teleop116.8
End16.3
Second
6969
#31
112.92.6
115.1112.5
Auto13.8
Teleop87.4
End12.1
blue by 17.7
3419
#16
130.61.7
122.4124.2
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End10.1
Third
5298
#40
102.23.3
98.2101.5
Auto12.7
Teleop84.1
End3.2
blue by 9.1
5123
#27
111.32.1
113.0110.9
Auto16.3
Teleop87.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed