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Red259
1880115.2
6982114.4
6401129.4
Blue322
4571106.3
6806114.7
6911124.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042620100200400500600259322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6401
#18
129.43.2
121.0124.2
Auto19.4
Teleop100.4
End10.3
red by 4.7
6911
#10
124.73.7
112.5116.1
Auto16.5
Teleop96.0
End10.6
Second
1880
#29
115.21.0
115.2116.2
Auto14.2
Teleop79.1
End21.5
red by 0.5
6806
#34
114.71.0
109.7110.6
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End10.3
Third
6982
#39
114.41.1
112.2113.3
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End16.2
red by 8.1
4571
#35
106.30.1
105.6105.7
Auto12.3
Teleop81.4
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed