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Red495
694187.6
5016126.7
4122132.3
Blue121
6601103.3
5865140.4
7318106.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3942280100300500600700495121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
187.62.8
177.9180.7
Auto26.7
Teleop132.9
End26.3
red by 47.2
5865
#17
140.41.2
137.9139.1
Auto17.6
Teleop96.8
End27.9
Second
132.31.3
125.8127.1
Auto19.0
Teleop98.9
End11.8
red by 25.6
7318
#21
106.70.2
108.0108.2
Auto14.2
Teleop87.6
End2.8
Third
5016
#36
126.70.2
126.3126.1
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End13.3
red by 23.4
6601
#24
103.30.9
103.5104.4
Auto13.2
Teleop82.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed