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Red520
3950121.8
6880148.4
2590215.5
Blue275
2875148.6
1796176.5
3419130.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3523120100200400500600700520275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
215.52.4
201.9204.3
Auto25.7
Teleop145.9
End46.1
red by 39.0
176.53.3
166.4169.7
Auto25.9
Teleop128.1
End23.9
Second
148.43.9
131.8135.6
Auto17.7
Teleop116.8
End16.3
blue by 0.2
148.60.5
148.5149.0
Auto17.9
Teleop115.8
End12.7
Third
3950
#25
121.80.5
120.1119.5
Auto15.0
Teleop94.3
End14.3
blue by 8.8
3419
#16
130.61.7
127.3129.0
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed