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Red216
5123111.3
354130.2
4571106.3
Blue181
6806114.7
5202114.8
2265115.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022530100200400500600700800216181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#5
130.21.1
126.6127.7
Auto17.5
Teleop103.1
End9.8
red by 14.5
2265
#26
115.70.3
116.7116.4
Auto15.4
Teleop88.9
End10.5
Second
5123
#27
111.30.1
110.1110.3
Auto16.3
Teleop87.0
End6.9
blue by 3.5
5202
#30
114.80.6
112.2112.8
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End16.8
Third
4571
#35
106.30.1
106.0105.8
Auto12.3
Teleop81.4
End15.0
blue by 8.4
6806
#34
114.70.1
111.6111.5
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed