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Red363
7004129.2
395131.5
229144.3
Blue236
806102.9
6969112.9
353138.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472570100200300400500600363236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#12
144.30.5
140.8141.3
Auto15.4
Teleop111.7
End16.5
red by 5.5
353
#14
138.81.3
139.5138.3
Auto19.3
Teleop100.3
End21.4
Second
395
#9
131.53.0
122.0124.9
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End10.0
red by 18.6
6969
#31
112.90.7
111.2112.0
Auto13.8
Teleop87.4
End12.1
Third
129.22.6
119.1121.8
Auto15.8
Teleop96.6
End20.1
red by 26.3
806
#38
102.90.4
103.8103.4
Auto14.3
Teleop80.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed