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Red357
354130.2
5943117.1
6969112.9
Blue148
7016103.5
6601103.3
6911124.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276274150200250300350357148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#5
130.20.3
128.8129.1
Auto17.5
Teleop103.1
End9.8
red by 5.5
6911
#10
124.72.2
122.3124.5
Auto16.5
Teleop96.0
End10.6
Second
5943
#23
117.10.1
117.1117.1
Auto16.2
Teleop84.3
End15.0
red by 13.5
7016
#28
103.51.2
102.3103.5
Auto12.5
Teleop85.5
End4.1
Third
6969
#31
112.90.4
112.5112.9
Auto13.8
Teleop87.4
End12.1
red by 9.6
6601
#24
103.30.5
103.8103.3
Auto13.2
Teleop82.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed