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Red433
2869111.1
4091120.3
1796176.5
Blue185
6982114.4
5865140.4
3950121.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346273100200400500600433185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.51.9
171.7173.6
Auto25.9
Teleop128.1
End23.9
red by 36.1
5865
#17
140.41.0
139.3140.3
Auto17.6
Teleop96.8
End27.9
Second
4091
#15
120.30.2
119.9120.1
Auto15.5
Teleop92.5
End14.9
blue by 1.5
3950
#25
121.80.9
120.9121.8
Auto15.0
Teleop94.3
End14.3
Third
2869
#19
111.10.4
110.4110.8
Auto16.5
Teleop87.6
End8.0
blue by 3.3
6982
#39
114.40.6
113.8114.4
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed