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Red310
5016126.7
6880148.4
257999.6
Blue200
6806114.7
2601137.0
1880115.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317262100200400500600310200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.44.5
140.1144.5
Auto17.7
Teleop116.8
End16.3
red by 11.5
2601
#13
137.02.1
132.3134.4
Auto18.6
Teleop103.6
End14.3
Second
5016
#36
126.70.2
126.3126.4
Auto15.0
Teleop97.6
End13.3
red by 11.6
1880
#29
115.20.8
116.0115.2
Auto14.2
Teleop79.1
End21.5
Third
2579
#20
99.60.6
100.399.7
Auto13.8
Teleop79.1
End5.2
blue by 15.1
6806
#34
114.71.4
111.6113.0
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed