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Qual 792018 Hudson Valley Regional
Red335
229144.3
694187.6
7318106.7
Blue451
2590215.5
7004129.2
5123111.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313369100200400500600700335451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#2
187.61.9
183.1→185.0
Auto26.7
Teleop132.9
End26.3
blue by 27.9
2590
#1
215.53.1
207.4→210.5
Auto25.7
Teleop145.9
End46.1
Second
229
#12
144.31.4
142.2→143.6
Auto15.4
Teleop111.7
End16.5
red by 15.1
7004
#7
129.23.2
124.4→127.6
Auto15.8
Teleop96.6
End20.1
Third
7318
#21
106.70.3
107.1→106.9
Auto14.2
Teleop87.6
End2.8
blue by 4.6
5123
#27
111.30.7
110.6→111.3
Auto16.3
Teleop87.0
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed45%Face the Boss oddsMissed