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Red411
806102.9
369134.0
395131.5
Blue236
5298102.2
6401129.4
5202114.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323256100200400500600411236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#11
134.01.1
131.8132.8
Auto16.5
Teleop109.1
End8.2
red by 4.6
6401
#18
129.40.4
128.4128.8
Auto19.4
Teleop100.4
End10.3
Second
395
#9
131.52.1
127.8129.9
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End10.0
red by 16.7
5202
#30
114.80.9
113.3114.2
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End16.8
Third
806
#38
102.90.4
103.2102.9
Auto14.3
Teleop80.4
End8.0
red by 0.7
5298
#40
102.21.2
103.4102.2
Auto12.7
Teleop84.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed