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Red257
20165.9
2791204.1
3624124.6
Blue300
1156155.7
1493159.9
4458141.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393307200500600257300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.10.6
203.1203.7
Auto22.2
Teleop145.5
End37.1
red by 44.2
159.90.4
159.0159.5
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
Second
20
#6
165.90.3
165.4165.7
Auto23.1
Teleop122.7
End17.1
red by 10.2
1156
#14
155.70.2
155.3155.5
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
Third
3624
#22
124.60.1
124.5124.6
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
blue by 16.6
4458
#19
141.10.4
140.4140.8
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End16.8