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Red244
20165.9
2791204.1
5123118.6
Blue275
1156155.7
1493159.9
4458141.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383304200500600244275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.10.4
203.7204.1
Auto22.2
Teleop145.5
End37.1
red by 44.2
159.90.4
159.5159.9
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
Second
20
#6
165.90.2
165.7165.9
Auto23.1
Teleop122.7
End17.1
red by 10.2
1156
#14
155.70.2
155.5155.7
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
Third
5123
#20
118.60.2
118.3118.6
Auto17.7
Teleop92.5
End9.9
blue by 22.5
4458
#19
141.10.3
140.8141.1
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End16.8