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Red395
20165.9
2791204.1
3624124.6
Blue200
4508151.3
2013137.3
250133.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420278100200500600700395200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.10.6
200.8201.4
Auto22.2
Teleop145.5
End37.1
red by 52.7
4508
#16
151.30.3
150.8151.1
Auto16.9
Teleop107.9
End25.0
Second
20
#6
165.90.2
164.3164.5
Auto23.1
Teleop122.7
End17.1
red by 28.6
2013
#15
137.30.3
136.8137.1
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End14.7
Third
3624
#22
124.60.1
124.5124.4
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
blue by 8.5
250
#27
133.10.2
132.9133.0
Auto15.4
Teleop98.7
End18.5