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Red332
1156155.7
702799.5
6300124.4
Blue257
4508151.3
333138.4
5881121.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285339100200400500600332257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#14
155.70.2
154.0154.2
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
red by 4.3
4508
#16
151.31.8
149.0150.8
Auto16.9
Teleop107.9
End25.0
Second
6300
#10
124.40.3
123.8124.1
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1
blue by 14.0
333
#9
138.40.9
137.3138.1
Auto18.9
Teleop103.8
End16.4
Third
7027
#32
99.50.0
99.599.5
Auto15.5
Teleop77.0
End6.4
blue by 21.7
5881
#31
121.20.4
120.9121.2
Auto12.2
Teleop92.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed