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Red392
1860143.0
3044148.2
1665116.6
Blue236
3360164.7
3117137.5
5202111.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315344100200400500600700392236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.20.1
147.9148.0
Auto20.6
Teleop111.7
End15.9
blue by 16.5
3360
#11
164.70.0
164.8164.8
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
Second
1860
#12
143.00.3
142.3142.6
Auto18.0
Teleop102.5
End25.0
red by 5.5
137.50.4
136.2136.6
Auto20.2
Teleop100.9
End16.6
Third
1665
#24
116.60.1
116.7116.6
Auto17.6
Teleop77.4
End22.1
red by 5.4
5202
#30
111.20.0
111.3111.3
Auto15.5
Teleop80.9
End14.9