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Red392
1156155.7
1493159.9
4458141.1
Blue226
3996147.2
3990199.9
5964118.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348343250300400450392226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.90.4
158.1158.6
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
blue by 40.1
199.90.2
199.7199.8
Auto28.3
Teleop149.7
End20.8
Second
1156
#14
155.70.2
154.8155.0
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
red by 8.4
147.20.4
146.5146.9
Auto16.9
Teleop105.8
End23.6
Third
4458
#19
141.10.4
139.6140.0
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End16.8
red by 22.3
5964
#21
118.80.1
118.7118.8
Auto14.2
Teleop87.5
End17.3