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Red428
1156155.7
1493159.9
4458141.1
Blue308
6484137.4
6300124.4
358134.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383265100200300500600700428308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.90.5
156.7157.1
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
red by 22.4
6484
#13
137.40.2
137.0137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop98.6
End22.2
Second
1156
#14
155.70.1
154.2154.4
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
red by 20.8
358
#17
134.80.0
134.8134.8
Auto19.0
Teleop101.1
End19.2
Third
4458
#19
141.10.4
138.4138.8
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End16.8
red by 16.7
6300
#10
124.40.2
124.1124.3
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1