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Red299
1156155.7
1493159.9
4458141.1
Blue0
3996147.2
3990199.9
5964118.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34934201002002503004002990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.90.5
158.6159.0
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
blue by 40.1
3990
#3DQ
199.90.1
199.8199.9
Auto28.3
Teleop149.7
End20.8
Second
1156
#14
155.70.2
155.0155.3
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
red by 8.4
3996
#8DQ
147.20.3
146.9147.2
Auto16.9
Teleop105.8
End23.6
Third
4458
#19
141.10.4
140.0140.4
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End16.8
red by 22.3
5964
#21DQ
118.80.0
118.8118.8
Auto14.2
Teleop87.5
End17.3