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Red180
3624124.6
702799.5
6484137.4
Blue286
7031108.3
6300124.4
3360164.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254327100200300400500180286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6484
#13
137.45.7
109.6115.3
Auto16.5
Teleop98.6
End22.2
blue by 27.3
3360
#11
164.71.4
158.1159.4
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
Second
3624
#22
124.60.1
122.4122.3
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
red by 0.1
6300
#10
124.40.3
117.0117.3
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1
Third
7027
#32
99.53.5
95.098.5
Auto15.5
Teleop77.0
End6.4
blue by 8.8
7031
#29
108.33.4
96.6100.0
Auto15.1
Teleop78.6
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed