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Red211
5881121.2
420399.7
358134.8
Blue354
1665116.6
6621145.6
229138.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270303150200250350400211354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#17
134.81.3
129.7131.0
Auto19.0
Teleop101.1
End19.2
blue by 10.8
145.61.4
122.5123.9
Auto18.3
Teleop102.4
End28.0
Second
5881
#31
121.20.4
111.7111.3
Auto12.2
Teleop92.3
End14.4
blue by 17.5
229
#18
138.72.1
132.3134.4
Auto17.4
Teleop105.3
End15.8
Third
4203
#35
99.70.9
95.396.2
Auto16.0
Teleop72.8
End12.9
blue by 16.8
1665
#24
116.60.3
116.1115.8
Auto17.6
Teleop77.4
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned