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Red451
1156155.7
1860143.0
3117137.5
Blue156
5943109.2
4508151.3
6463121.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343267100150200300400450500451156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#14
155.75.9
129.9135.8
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
red by 4.3
4508
#16
151.33.0
128.3131.3
Auto16.9
Teleop107.9
End25.0
Second
1860
#12
143.04.3
125.1129.4
Auto18.0
Teleop102.5
End25.0
red by 21.7
6463
#25
121.34.6
117.9122.6
Auto16.9
Teleop89.1
End15.4
Third
137.51.5
116.7118.3
Auto20.2
Teleop100.9
End16.6
red by 28.3
5943
#26
109.20.8
102.5101.7
Auto15.7
Teleop78.4
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed