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Qual 292018 New York Tech Valley Regional
Red189
3044148.2
5202111.2
4458141.1
Blue379
1493159.9
5964118.8
3996147.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326301200250350400450189379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#4
148.20.9
141.6→142.5
Auto20.6
Teleop111.7
End15.9
blue by 11.7
1493
#2
159.95.4
126.7→132.1
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
Second
4458
#19
141.16.6
125.0→131.5
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End16.8
blue by 6.1
3996
#8
147.22.2
132.9→135.1
Auto16.9
Teleop105.8
End23.6
Third
5202
#30
111.22.6
108.3→110.9
Auto15.5
Teleop80.9
End14.9
blue by 7.7
5964
#21
118.83.7
100.5→104.2
Auto14.2
Teleop87.5
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed