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Red409
20165.9
3360164.7
1493159.9
Blue136
7031108.3
3624124.6
3996147.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622480100200300400500600409136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
165.90.7
154.6153.9
Auto23.1
Teleop122.7
End17.1
red by 18.7
147.21.7
127.3128.9
Auto16.9
Teleop105.8
End23.6
Second
3360
#11
164.70.5
156.4156.8
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
red by 40.1
3624
#22
124.614.1
91.7105.8
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
Third
159.915.3
80.896.1
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
red by 51.5
7031
#29
108.330.6
108.377.7
Auto15.1
Teleop78.6
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsEarned