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Red240
3117137.5
5943109.2
3990199.9
Blue319
4508151.3
5659136.1
1156155.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332800100200400500600240319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.90.2
186.3186.1
Auto28.3
Teleop149.7
End20.8
red by 44.3
1156
#14
155.713.7
95.4109.1
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
Second
137.51.2
112.8114.0
Auto20.2
Teleop100.9
End16.6
blue by 13.9
4508
#16
151.314.7
86.0100.8
Auto16.9
Teleop107.9
End25.0
Third
5943
#26
109.216.3
71.888.1
Auto15.7
Teleop78.4
End20.4
blue by 26.9
5659
#28
136.115.1
83.198.2
Auto18.0
Teleop97.7
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed