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Red478
1860143.0
2791204.1
333138.4
Blue102
420399.7
250133.1
3360164.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422920100200400500600700800478102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.11.8
165.4167.2
Auto22.2
Teleop145.5
End37.1
red by 39.4
3360
#11
164.71.3
156.8158.1
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
Second
1860
#12
143.015.5
78.994.4
Auto18.0
Teleop102.5
End25.0
red by 9.9
250
#27
133.10.7
133.5134.1
Auto15.4
Teleop98.7
End18.5
Third
333
#9
138.414.5
88.4102.9
Auto18.9
Teleop103.8
End16.4
red by 38.7
4203
#35
99.716.8
67.284.0
Auto16.0
Teleop72.8
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed