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Red376
3117137.5
1493159.9
6463121.3
Blue243
1665116.6
20165.9
5964118.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682950100200400500600700376243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.912.0
96.1108.2
Auto22.1
Teleop115.6
End22.5
blue by 6.0
20
#6
165.90.1
153.9154.0
Auto23.1
Teleop122.7
End17.1
Second
137.50.3
114.0113.7
Auto20.2
Teleop100.9
End16.6
red by 18.7
5964
#21
118.811.0
80.091.0
Auto14.2
Teleop87.5
End17.3
Third
6463
#25
121.37.1
96.3103.4
Auto16.9
Teleop89.1
End15.4
red by 4.7
1665
#24
116.61.8
120.7118.9
Auto17.6
Teleop77.4
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed