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Red252
6463121.3
3360164.7
5123118.6
Blue274
333138.4
3044148.2
5943109.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344278200300400500252274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#11
164.71.4
161.3162.7
Auto21.1
Teleop119.9
End23.7
red by 16.5
148.21.0
143.5144.5
Auto20.6
Teleop111.7
End15.9
Second
6463
#25
121.30.3
123.9124.2
Auto16.9
Teleop89.1
End15.4
blue by 17.1
333
#9
138.42.0
131.3133.3
Auto18.9
Teleop103.8
End16.4
Third
5123
#20
118.61.4
110.5111.9
Auto17.7
Teleop92.5
End9.9
red by 9.4
5943
#26
109.21.7
98.8100.6
Auto15.7
Teleop78.4
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed