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Red261
6484137.4
358134.8
2013137.3
Blue500
3990199.9
1156155.7
3624124.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284372100200400500600261500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6484
#13
137.45.1
123.4128.5
Auto16.5
Teleop98.6
End22.2
blue by 62.5
199.91.3
189.1190.5
Auto28.3
Teleop149.7
End20.8
Second
2013
#15
137.31.0
130.2131.2
Auto18.6
Teleop100.6
End14.7
blue by 18.3
1156
#14
155.71.4
147.2148.6
Auto18.8
Teleop116.7
End20.3
Third
358
#17
134.81.5
133.3134.7
Auto19.0
Teleop101.1
End19.2
red by 10.2
3624
#22
124.60.6
121.9121.3
Auto18.5
Teleop91.1
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed