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Red303
5123118.6
6621145.6
5659136.1
Blue400
3990199.9
6463121.3
6484137.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251394100200300500600303400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.62.9
129.5132.4
Auto18.3
Teleop102.4
End28.0
blue by 54.4
199.91.7
190.5192.2
Auto28.3
Teleop149.7
End20.8
Second
5659
#28
136.12.5
128.5131.0
Auto18.0
Teleop97.7
End17.9
blue by 1.3
6484
#13
137.42.8
128.5131.3
Auto16.5
Teleop98.6
End22.2
Third
5123
#20
118.60.9
111.9111.0
Auto17.7
Teleop92.5
End9.9
blue by 2.7
6463
#25
121.31.6
124.2122.6
Auto16.9
Teleop89.1
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed